The best time of the year is finally upon us - NFL season. Of course, I'm not as jazzed up this year because the Broncos have followed a script this offseason that would put a soap opera writer to shame, but football is football.
Having lived through (figuratively) Josh McDaniels' turbulent offseason, I thought it would be a good exercise to predict what next year's coaching carousel would look like. The rules for this game are simple - I assume each team is going to finish the season 5-11 and try to predict whether the coach gets fired if it does. I'll also give my thoughts on each team and what I think the actual record will be, just like all those NFL 'experts'. Only I don't get paid for it. I'll come back after the season and see how close I got, or rather how ridiculous my predictions turned out.
So without further ado:
AFC EastBuffalo Bills (5-11)Nobody cares about the Buffalo Bills. I know it must be gut-wrenching to read that, but un-wrench that gut and face the truth - the Buffalo Bills have been a has-been since those famous Superbowl runs of the early nineties. Even the TO show moved to Buffalo only after everyone else had stopped caring about it. The frigid north is past it's prime. Buffalo either needs to move to the much more hep (and much more climate controlled) dome of Toronto, or the sunny weather of bankrupt LA. Maybe then people will start caring.
If the team goes 5-11: Jauron will be kicked out, maybe even before the season ends
My Predication: 6-10
Miami Dolphins (5-11)Parcells won't let this team regress so much. Just like his protege Bill Belichick, Parcells knows how not to build teams that suck. The Dolphins may not be the sexiest team in the league and Pennington's limp arm may make you want to throw some erectile dysfunction pills at him (not that I'm saying you carry those around all the time), but they will still be good this year. I think Sparano has enough goodwill to last him a couple more years.
If the team goes 5-11: Sparano is safe
My Prediction: 11-5
New England Patriots (5-11)I don't like New England. Must be something to do with their arrogance. But 5-11? Are you kidding me? New England isn't finishing 5-11, but even if they go 0-16, Bill's not going anywhere, unless he is bored with the gig and decides to run for office on account of his popularity and his gregarious, people-friendly personality.
If the team goes 5-11: Belichik is safe
My Prediction: 10-6
New York Jets (5-11)I don't understand why the Jets get so much attention. Their record in the last 5 years? 37-43. Less than mediocre. Last Superbowl appearance? 1969. That's right - 1969 !!! What have you done for me lately? Nada. If the team goes 5-11, and they very well might, the honeymoon will definitely be over for Rex Ryan. He'll get one more season, but if he doesn't deliver, the Jets will be looking for the next Mangenious.
If the team goes 5-11: Rex is safe
My Prediction: 4-12
AFC NorthBaltimore Ravens (5-11)No wonder Cincy and Cleveland haven't been able to get anything going in this division. After facing the Steelers and the Ravens twice each year, I'd be pretty inept at everything too. The Ravens D is the stuff of legend and now they have a bona fide quarterback to boot. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Bungles and the Browns turn in their helmets and wait for the unemployment benefits to roll in. It's better to be a janitor and sweep floors than let the Ravens D use you as their broom to sweep the field.
If the team goes 5-11: Harbaugh's safe
My Prediction: 12-4
Cincinati Bengals (5-11)Why is Marvin Lewis still around? The Bengals have had one winning season since 1991. I think the Bengals ownership doesn't expect them to win and I seriously doubt if they even care if the team shows up on the field, because they haven't been showing up for a long time. Marvin Lewis needs to go, and a losing season this year might the final nail in the coffin.
If the team goes 5-11: Lewis is a goner
My Prediction: 10-6
Cleveland Browns (5-11)What can Brown do for you? Not much apparently. Mangini tried to trade both his QBs and didn't get anywhere. Then he tried a quarterback competition in the pre-season and still didn't get anywhere. He finally named Quinn the starter, almost reluctantly. There aren't many coaches who try to sabotage their own team so effectively. Maybe he was pining for Favre. However, since this is his first year he'll get a pass from ownership if they don't do well.
If the team goes 5-11: Mangini hangs in there
My Prediction: 3-13
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-11)These guys are the real deal. They aren't going 5-11 anytime soon. Tomlin inherited a great team and he is doing justice to the grit and talent at his disposal. It's very easy to root for the Steelers.
If the team goes 5-11: Tomlin's not going anywhere
My Prediction: 12-4
AFC SouthHouston Texans (5-11)The Texans are Denver South no more. Mostly because Shanny's gone in Denver, but also because Kubiak's pretty much tapped the Denver well dry. I'll always have a soft spot for the Texans as long as Kubes is there, but this seems like the make or break season for him. If the Texans don't produce I'm afraid Kubiak will be on his way out.
If the team goes 5-11: Bye-bye Kubes
My Prediction: 11-5
Indianapolis Colts (5-11)New head coach, some new assistant coaches, mediocre receiving corps (Reggie Wayne notwithstanding), and I smell a recipe for disaster. I wonder if Manning can pull his team through once again. I've always questioned how much Tony Dungy was responsible for Indy's success. Seemed like Manning was running the offense, and if Tony was running the defense, he was doing a horrible job of it. Of course, a head coach does a lot more than X's and O's, but still.
If the team goes 5-11: Caldwell is safe
My Prediction: 9-7
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11)The Jaguars are wannabe Steelers. Memo to Del Rio, there's only one real Slim Shady, and it ain't you. So stop imitating. Memo to Chris Berman, Tom Jackson and the rest of the gang at ESPN. It's not jag-wires, it is jag-u-arrrs. Just so that it's clear, listen to this.
If the team goes 5-11: Jack's a goner
My Prediction: 8-8
Tennessee Titans (5-11)I know the Titans have been consistently good, but I don't see any hardware in the display case. Shocking prediction: I think Fisher goes if the Titans don't at least reach the AFC championship game. You heard it here first. Unless you know someone else who said it before me. Then you heard it here second and you're no fun at all.
If the team goes 5-11: Fisher will sleep with the fishes
My Prediction: 8-8
AFC WestDenver Broncos (5-11)The only reason I even watch football is because of the Broncos. It's frustrating being the fan of a team that has reached one AFC championship game in the last 10 years. At least I could take heart in the fact that we had a franchise QB and a HOF worthy coach before this off season. So much for that. This offseason was an LSD trip for the ages. I've bought into McD's vision, but the loss of Cutler still stings pretty bad. Orton just doesn't have the moxy Jay C has. Still, I think we'll be better than most people think. And even if we go 5-11, I think McD gets one more season.
If the team goes 5-11: McDaniels is safe
My Prediction: 8-8
Kansas City Chiefs (5-11)Matt Cassell is a flash in the pan. He will struggle mightily away from the hands-on coaching of McDaniels and the system and talent of New England, and that doesn't bode well for anyone in KC from Scott Pioli down to the offensive linemen (such as they are). KC has a weak team and a weak QB and they are going to be rebuilding for a while. New coach Todd Haley gets another year because we all know KC is going to suck this year.
If the team goes 5-11: Haley is safe
My Prediction: 4-12
Oakland Raiders (5-11)There was a time when people took great pleasure in hating the Raiders. Ah, the good old days. Now old man Davis has managed to so completely ruin the Raiders franchise that they have gone past pity and ridicule and entered the can't-even-stand-to-look-at-them territory. This should make me happy as a Bronco fan, but there's no fun in beating those limp noodles. Needless to say losing to them is even worse. As far as Cable, he might stick around for next season if doesn't go to jail before that.
If the team goes 5-11: Who can tell? Depends on how tight Al Davis' diapers are that day
Season Prediction: 5-11
San Diego Chargers (5-11)Everybody's favorite team to win the Superbowl for the last 4 years. Maybe this is their year. They have a stud QB, 'roided up linebackers and a sick running game. So will they beat themselves this year too? I think not. I think they will go all the way and if they don't make the SB, Turner will be out of San Diego and Ron Rivera will become the head coach.
If the team goes 5-11: See ya later, Alligator
My Prediction: 13-3